Toney's electric with the ball in his hands, and he's still learning the wide receiver position after playing quarterback in high school and serving more as a gadget player until his final season at Florida. This is my first year doing this by myself, so comments about the stuff I'm creating is really, really helpful. It's just that they haven't had a substantial, reliable workhorse there, so no player has really been a go-to option in fantasy football. Just saw this post and genuinely appreciate all the feedback. Sermon, who was one of the few backs with good size in this class, has a chance to be that player for them. Our RB-heavy rankings count down the top-30 first-year players who . And when you give an athletic, productive prospect like Pitts that kind of opportunity, he'll thrive. He had the second-highest best-season reception share in this class, and he played ahead of Antonio Gibson at Memphis. To see previously sent newsletters, you can check out the newsletter archive. , who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. You can also get a DLF Premium Membership for FREE! The approach is extremely nuanced and analytical. He had one of the best scores of any prospect in my model before last week's event, and he's now a 96th percentile prospect in my model. It changed his life. Film-based analysis for 30+ fantasy-relevant players with their. In hindsight, I should've given Elijah Moore a little more love when I talked about him before the draft. You couldn't really ask for a better landing spot than Atlanta for Kyle Pitts. The biggest faller from these pre- to post-draft rankings is Tylan Wallace. We pick out four running backs worth thinking about in your dynasty leagues. As is my model. The story for Powell is about situation. Although it feels like the NFL season just ended, we're already looking ahead to 2022 -- and that starts with the rookies and the NFL Draft. Dynasty Crossroads Episode 258 JJ Zachariason. And that's why it wouldn't bother me at all if you opt to go with Chase over Harris at the 1.01 spot in single-quarterback rookie drafts. And it's likely because across a large sample -- across every relevant wide receiver that's entered the league since 2006 -- size isn't that big of a deal. And with Austin Ekeler potentially moving on after 2023, Spiller has an unlikely but plausible path to becoming a long-term starter. Connor Hughes (who covers the team for The Athletic) believes the Jets "will deploy a running back by committee as long as Mike LaFleur is their offensive coordinator.". Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. There is some worry about athleticism with Long, though, and that could really limit his fantasy football upside. Tier: 1. GIF. He's one of 11 drafted wide receivers with a best-season yards per team attempt rate north of 3.0, and with a strong breakout age, Brown is listed as an 81st percentile prospect according to the model. At all. Already a DLF Premium Member? Like DJ Moore, Skyy Moore is not an elite downfield option, but he's excellent on intermediate and shallow routes and is great after the catch. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be, The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to, in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. , and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. Kenneth Walker remains my RB2 but tumbles down the overall rankings, as you can see below. May 3, 2022, 9:13 pm ET. Insiders will have access to everything Explorers get, but they also will have access to Q&A livestreams with JJ (at least once a month out of season and twice a week during), rest-of-season rankings and tiers (updated weekly in-season), and rankings and tiers for the upcoming week of games. He's got good size at 6'1'', 210 pounds, but he's got a horrific stat score in my model to go along with a weak breakout age. Chris Olave (13.21), Garrett Wilson (12.69), Christian Watson (11.72), Jahan Dotson (10.88), and Drake London (10.51) all eclipsed the feat last year. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. Surely there will be some regression for Fields in the rushing department, but that should also hold true for him as a passer. Beyond Cook, this class provides several Day 3 backs with interesting paths to opportunity, but Tyler Allgeier is my favorite bet. He competed well with. That pairs nicely with Kyler Murray, who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. The colossal force in fantasy football podcasting. Miles Sanders -- among others -- will play ahead of Gainwell in Philadelphia, but the rookie could showcase his talent at times throughout Year 1 given his strong receiving profile. Through those contests, though, he had more receiving yards than Heisman winner Devonta Smith. As usual you provide solid information as all dynasty degenerates prepare for the combines and draft. 3. Until August, we dont know exactly who will be drafted where in most rookie drafts. Thanks to everyone who's supported, and I'm looking forward to making things better every step of the way. Yeah I dont get the reluctance to spend money on content as if its wasted. Corral has a decently high ceiling as a willing scrambler with accuracy and has enough weapons around him to succeed right away. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3. Copyright 2006-2022 Fantasy Sports Enterprises, LLC. Fantasy football doesn't have to feel so luck-driven. Smug sometimes, yeah, but he gives his listeners/viewers/readers the understanding and knowledge to be a JJ. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. And that's a big deal. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 15Tier: 8. In my model, every player has what's called a "stat score" -- it's a score derived from the three main production metrics. Dulcich profiles as a move tight end, meaning that he could theoretically share the field with traditional inline tight end Albert Okwuegbunam. Share on Twitter. As an underneath option on a potentially prolific passing offense, Bell is someone I want plenty of exposure to. Plus, now you can check out articles and player cards. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 15Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 11Post-Draft Positional Rank: 10Tier: 7. Latest YouTube video youtube: https://youtu.be/Ic-nV8FMQYk Links: Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140, Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics, Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some of the background music, Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the Chicken or Crow theme song for @dynastycrossroads. And, as we know, Kyle Shanahan's running scheme can be productive for fantasy purposes. He's going to be bad. His production profile wasn't very complete given the journey he went on in college, where he transferred to Oklahoma after playing at a Junior college, and then he was suspended for part of his final season. Normally against spending money on anything fantasy football related like this since its mostly luck anyway. Jones had a monster final season at Alabama, and his profile aligns closely with Joe Burrow's from last season, but Jones wasn't the first overall pick. For example, the record holder for rushing yards in a season at the quarterback position, Lamar Jackson, has four of the top 14 rushing seasons all-time for quarterbacks and has never finished worse than QB8 in points per game in his four starting seasons. That's the feeling I get. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 30Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 6Tier: 8. Which three 2nd year WRs should fantasy owners be buying this off-season? would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. There are multiple wide receivers from last years class on this list including Skyy Moore, Alec Pierce, Romeo Doubs, and WanDale Robinson. By a lot. Keith Jackson (@dynasty_jax) February 25, 2023. You'll also get priority for mailbag questions for The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast's weekly mailbag episode. If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code ETR for a first deposit match up to $100. Walker carried the ball eight times for 88 yards and a touchdown. We open up the DLF Mailbag to answer your questions. Other Day 3 names are also intriguing. Trey Lance is a big mover post-draft after being selected by Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers. He may play a little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day, but. On one of the best football teams in the country, Etienne posted the third-best reception share in this running back class while providing the sixth-best total yards per team play. His sub-20-year-old breakout age is strong, and he's an early declare, too. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. This is my approach to most trades. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast is a fantasy football show that helps you win through bite-sized, analytically-driven episodes. He dedicates 25 pages to explain fundamentals and the process, 15-30 pages for each position (concluding each one with "your 2022 plan of attack"), 35 pages of player takes, and then his rankings. Tools. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 13Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7. Insider. Beyond that, it's really about placing your preferred longshot bets. Hall should still be the 1.01 in shallower, more running back-focused formats, as it's well within the range of outcomes that he takes over the backfield quickly. Allgeier slots in as Day 3 Derrick Henry in the Falcons' ongoing quest to assemble the JV Titans. Try DLF Premium for only $7.99 with a Monthly Subscription. But at 214 pounds, White is unlikely to be a workhorse at any point in his career. I found some of the charts he included somewhat hard/unintuitive to read. I don't even agree with all of the specific player takes and feel like I got a ton out of it just from the overall concepts he articulates much better than I could or have the time to. The game is filled with variance -- unpredictable things happen all the time. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 12Tier: 7. And that's as his team's clear No. His variable hesitancy at the line in 2020 was gone in 2021, as he was decisive, quick, and violent when hitting the hole. On one of the best football teams in the country, Etienne posted the third-best reception share in this running back class while providing the sixth-best total yards per team play. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. Click here to learn more! There are four wide receivers who could easily be placed in this eighth overall spot -- I'm just opting to put, The main reason I'm high on Marshall -- and likely higher than the consensus -- is because he's one of the only earlier-round wide receivers who checks nearly every alpha wide receiver box. He has underrated rushing ability, too -- he's often compared to Andrew Luck, and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. Love hearing this. If you're an avid listener over the last couple of years, you're not going to find a ton of new information. See Fantasy Football Week 7 PPR rankings for Dynasty League Football Dynasty ADP and JJ Zachariason compared with each other to find the best sleepers and avoid the busts. and our The spreadsheet information includes schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed numbers, adjusted target share numbers, team pass rates in neutral and non-neutral game scripts, team target shares by position, quarterback deep-ball numbers and defensive deep-ball numbers, team touchdown trends, and player rush share and target share snapshots. For a little background, I've been a fantasy football analyst for about 10 years now, getting my start after I published an e-book titled "The Late-Round Quarterback" back in 2012. The fear is that his role in the NFL is just that -- to stretch the field. He's worth a flier late in rookie drafts. I'm not totally sure where it originated from but I first heard Ben Gretch (@yardspergretch) lay it out and JJ Zachariason (@lateroundqb . Injury Guide. Howell was drafted by the Commanders in the fifth . The Ravens run the football efficiently. The concept of the 'Running Back Deadzone' is one that has become a well known and accepted principle over the past couple of seasons. In fact, he could take over the Houston backfield if he was as criminally underused in college as some suspect. You'll receive a spreadsheet each week with the same information JJ looks at for his analysis, along with season-long and dynasty rankings. That's the thing. Instead of buying low on a player like Burks, Id rather conserve those assets and buy high on another player. During his Sophomore year, his snaps played dipped by 143, so his production didn't look as nice. On the plus side, he's got good agility, he competed well with second-rounder Javonte Williams at North Carolina (he actually had more yards from scrimmage than Williams last year), and he'll have a shot to showcase that right away for the Jets. 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